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Thoughts on Countering Online Radicalisation

26 June 2008
by Tim Stevens

I’m out of the country for a few days, so will be out of the blogosphere for a while. In the meantime, I thought I’d leave you with this opinion piece, originally intended for a well-known British broadsheet who never got back to me about it. No problem – I’ll stick it on here instead. This is very much a stream-of-consciousness piece, with attendant warts and blains, rather than a well-considered essay. It also doesn’t cover any new ground, but that was never the intention. Anyway, nuff flannel. A great weekend to you all!

Thoughts on Countering Online Radicalisation

Without an audience there is no terrorism. This adage strongly informs modern terrorism studies. Many analysts suggest that dead people do not matter so much to the terrorist as those that remain alive, those who witness, or to whom are reported, the violent acts that constitute the raison d’être of the terrorist. In the modern global media environment the potential audiences for spectacular and theatrical acts of terror are enormous, and the channels for propagation many. It is no coincidence that the propaganda of the deed has evolved alongside communications advances of the last few hundred years: the mass printed word, the telegraph, telephone, radio and television. As with the technologies themselves, the networks that connect people have become more widespread, complex and ubiquitous.

We live in an age of near media saturation. Putting aside for one moment the digital divide that affects access to media in developing countries and between social classes, the advent of internet and satellite communication heralds a new chapter in the evolution of the media. Not only has access to news and information become easier for those with personal computers, televisions and, increasingly, mobile phones, but the time between an event and its reporting has effectively been reduced to zero. Whilst newsprint still relies on the rhythm of the printing press and the delivery van, rolling satellite news delivers stories in real time to global consumers, while the internet allows us to monitor numerous sources across the world simultaneously.

Terrorists know their actions are reported instantaneously through a multitude of television channels, radio stations, websites, blogs and newsgroups. If the effectiveness of a violent act relies on being able to broadcast it as swiftly as possible to as many people as possible, then the contemporary global communications environment is as near perfect a tool as has yet been invented.

In the past, events were merely reported – the casualties, the bleeding and dismembered corpses, the collapsed buildings, the aftermath. Increasingly, terrorism and acts of war are witnessed by global audiences. We are no longer second-hand consumers of the story but first-hand spectators of the act. Terrorists, insurgents – and state militaries to some extent – draw us into their campaigns of violence, however these are viewed under international law or by their supporting constituencies. We are complicit in the violence, even if only as a function of being explicitly targeted by those who deploy strategic violence.

The issue of complicity is not straightforward. In 2003 events at Abu Ghraib were an undoubted public relations disaster for the US-led Coalition in Iraq. At times, Western audiences seemed to be more exercised by the motives of the photographers than with those who perpetrated the abuse. How could one condone torture by taking photographs of it? Does one? The testimony of Specialist Sabrina Harman suggested that “she wanted to show what was allowed” in an atmosphere of permissive violence and state abrogation of the laws of war. Whilst this does not wholly apply to us as viewers of violence, there are similar questions to be asked of our role in the propagation of violent images, not least the consideration that perhaps without us there would be no terrorism.

This is admittedly a slightly disingenuous point. To suggest that turning off our televisions and computers would absolve us of responsibility is nonsense, of course. But it does force us to reconsider the media environment and our part within it. The internet is changing this role, an unpalatable fact that news providers are disjointedly coming to terms with: the internet is turning us from mere consumers into providers too. Essentially, the traditional broadcast media environment is becoming interactive. The old one-way process of send-and-receive, controlled by state and private media consortia through recognised channels, is being confused and confounded by new internetted media. This interactivity has liberated terrorists from the constraints of institutional mass media and allowed them free rein to self-publicise.

Reams of newsprint, untold hours of televisual hyperbole and a thousand academic articles have been expended on this subject, but it remains of critical importance. How do we adjust our Western liberal mores to account for the fact that every violent sub- or non-state actor knows the internet is a tool and, like ‘us’, knows how to use it? The time has long passed when we should be surprised by this, although articles crop up regularly in provincial newspapers and magazines, and occasionally in national dailies, somehow expressing surprise that terrorists use the internet for their own ends, and that something-must-be-done. We wrestle with the First Amendment, the spectre of censorship looms, militaries worry about operational security, and politicians tack with the prevailing wind, dispensing legislation and initiatives like sticking plasters in a bucket of razor blades.

But what is the fuss all about? Do commentators on the subject actually know what happens on the internet? The videos of IEDs in Iraq, or of Juba the Baghdad Sniper, or viral 9/11 videos, might just be the thin end of the wedge. Terrorists and insurgents leverage the tools of new media to broadcast violent propaganda, but why? What lies beneath?

The substrate below the spectacular image factory is a world that most readers of this blog well recognise. Websites, blogs, chatrooms, social networking sites, discussion fora, mailing lists, internet relay chat, massively multiplayer online role-playing games, virtual worlds, email, instant messaging, video sharing, file sharing, torrenting, and a host of other spaces where people – fundamentally – interact.

Whilst the jury is still out on the degree to which extremists actually use some tools such as, for example, social networking sites and virtual worlds, there is abundant evidence they employ many types of online instruments for nefarious purposes. Most self-respecting extremist movements have at least one website these days; each aimed at different audiences. Other tiers of website host content from the ‘mother sites’, whether it be videos, training manuals, ideological tracts, security advice, etc. Websites link to blogs, chatrooms and filesharing sites, and vice versa. Chatrooms and discussion fora are dynamic and active areas for debate and discussion, where questions are posed and answered, arguments deconstructed and fleshed out. At every turn, ideas and material are exchanged, discussed, embellished and improved. In fact, it’s just like the digital world you and I inhabit, except that the material involved is usually illegal under national and international law, and that the sites in question move from host to host frequently in order to escape detection and interdiction. It is a massive mobilisation of effort in itself to keep participants up to date with website addresses, many of which, of course, are hosted by internet service providers in Europe and North America.

When Ayman al-Zawahiri, Al Qaeda’s chief ideologue, declared in 2001 that “we must get our message across to the masses of the nation and break the media siege imposed on the jihad movement. This is an independent battle that we must launch side by side with the military battle”, he understood the importance of engagement in globalised media space. It has taken his adversary a long time to catch up with this idea, and the West still lags not only in terms of combating the ‘media jihad’ but also in understanding the tools used to conduct it.

Comprehension is critical. All movements congregate around a message, a coherent narrative understood by all, a rallying cry. Extremist propaganda serves this function, and discriminates amongst different audiences. In the court of international public opinion it aims to create either fear or a broad sense of sympathy. When aimed at the enemy, whether military or civilian, the intention is to create fear and uncertainty, and to undermine morale. Different emphases can be placed on the message distributed to extant supporters of an extremist organisation – corroboration, encouragement, reinforcement, righteousness. The fourth audience is the population in whose interest extremists claim to act. Propaganda mobilises public support, constructs bottom-up legitimacy, and affirms credibility through action. Within this population lies the most important group of all: the next generation of extremists. These are not necessarily the young, although they often are; what matters is the ability to recruit individuals into a movement, to radicalise them such that they become actors themselves, to generate momentum and to perpetuate the movement.

Radicalisation is a complex process, of which the internet is but a part and not, as is sometimes stated, the sole vector of radicalisation. It is certainly a major factor but as the current furore over radicalisation in prisons on both sides of the Atlantic shows, you don’t close this particular deal in cyberspace. The internet serves primarily as a conduit for propaganda, an interactive tool for identifying susceptible individuals, but nothing has yet replaced the face-to-face meeting with the recruiting sergeant. Despite the effectiveness of Al Qaeda arch-propagandist ‘Irhabi007’, the wiles of a Hans Scharff are still the most effective tactics in the ‘real’ world, despite recent concerns about self-radicalised “lone wolves”.

However we understand the real and the ‘virtual’ there is a trajectory of radicalisation at work, which generally moves individuals from the internet to face-to-face interactions with experienced recruiters. These experienced and persuasive operatives, of whom intelligence services know very little, have been described by ex-mujahid Hanif Qadir of the Active Change Foundation as ‘mystery men’ or ‘shape-shifters’. These men are the ‘closers’ in the contract between the man and the movement.

Ironically perhaps, especially for those who despair about its otherworldly chaos, the internet might offer us the best opportunities to both prevent individuals sliding into violence and to gather intelligence on those who facilitate it. Options on the table fall roughly into two categories, the hard and the soft.

‘Hard’ strategies involve dislocation of constituent internet elements. Various forms of filtering are available to restrict access to known extremist sites, based on constantly updated ‘black lists’ and ‘trigger’ content. This means you could not easily access certain sites through your internet service provider. This would not just be throttling of internet traffic – which happens anyway: we are not yet in an age of ‘net neutrality’ – but a blanket ban on access. This is of course censorship, with significant ethical and legal implications, and may not be desirable. Most of us sign up to various forms of censorship in our broadband contracts, if we were but to read the small print, and it stops our families accidentally straying onto child pornography sites. Can we expect either government or business – who would probably have to pay for filtering – to adequately disentangle political expression from sexual expression, or to implement such policies fairly? Also, the built-in redundancy of the internet means that if even taken offline, websites are likely to have already been copied, mirrored and hosted elsewhere. Dynamic content such as blogs and password-protected sites like chatrooms and fora fall naturally outside most filtering techniques, rendering them obsolete in dealing with the foci of most online radicalisation. If we do not leave filtering to machines, would we happily rely on banks of human operators monitoring digital traffic at thousands of websites for trigger words and phrases? Even given the British public’s predilection for allowing heavy surveillance legislation through parliament without batting an eyelid, it is unlikely we would allow the panopticon of full filtering to enter law, as currently is the case in China and Saudi Arabia. There may be some scope for filtering, but we must remain vigilant as we bump up against outright censorship and a surveillance state.

The second option is proactive intelligence, which falls somewhere between ‘hard’ and ‘soft’ depending on viewpoint. This burden falls on the intelligence services, and to a lesser extent the police and public, and may require ramping-up of current activity and a renewed allocation of resources. Material gathered in this way is also not foolproof, as the recent arrest of two University of Nottingham employees attests, but how many ‘false positives’ is the public prepared to tolerate? There is a strong feeling in the intelligence community that increased surveillance is critical to combating online radicalisation, and legislation may be required for them to expand their investigations. Before people start braying about civil liberties, surveillance is already happening, and the public need to scrutinise future legislation carefully before allowing it to become law. The American row over H.R. 1955 should serve as guidance in this respect.

‘Soft’ strategies effectively aim to use the tools of the net as a counterbalance to the rhetoric of extremism. These include engaging directly with individuals and groups on the internet and challenging extremist views in public fashion. There are many online communities to which this approach might be applied. Not everyone could or should undertake these actions, and can they succeed except on rare occasions? Most social anti-radicalisation initiatives stress the importance of community involvement in countering extremism. Concurrently, the creation of websites deliberately aimed at fostering tolerance and rejecting violent extremism could be a priority. Such schemes already exist but in contrast to ‘hard’ approaches, they are definitely playing the ‘long game’, and there is little evidence yet as to their effectiveness.

Extremism itself is not the problem and nor is radical thinking, but violence against innocent individuals – becoming ‘kinetic’ in military parlance – is not acceptable in modern liberal society. Although its role is sometimes overstated online radicalisation is very real. It cannot be viewed in isolation from the societies in which it occurs but there are targeted approaches available to mitigate its worst excesses. Testimonies of violent extremists of every ilk highlight the role of the internet in radicalisation, either of themselves or of others, and we are obliged to pay attention.


14 Comments leave one →
  1. 27 June 2008 03:41

    Holy word count Batman! Lots to digest, I will have to ponder this for awhile. Enjoy your trip.

  2. 30 June 2008 21:38

    Thick on words, thin on content! It’s deliberately pretty flimsy, and was never originally intended for this blog. I just got fed up sitting on it. File under ‘op-ed of dubious merit’.

  3. 30 June 2008 22:44

    Very nice work here o’ Tim. I’m going to chew on this post a bit and respond.

  4. 30 June 2008 22:53

    I look forward to your thoughts. Even as an op-ed it needs some bashing into shape, or some serious mastication at the very least …

  5. 1 July 2008 22:08

    The lone wolves are a computationally intractable X factor.

    I don’t know if you ever read the Illuminatus! trilogy, but there’s a great character, Markoff Chaney, who embodies the unpredictable threat of an exceptional human who decides they hate everyone.

    Seems unavoidable: exceptional people do exceptional things, and exceptional events won’t exist in anyone’s models, theories or projections. Terrorism with an ideology behind it will look quaint in 10 years.

  6. 1 July 2008 22:21

    Justin,

    I think you have a point, but human history tells us that ideology is never too far away, if ever. Whether ideology remains linked to terrorism is moot, and I suspect you’re right that the role of ideology – as traditionally understood, at least – is dwindling, as regards the global jihad anyway.

    As for lone wolves, I agree – “computationally intractable”. The lone wolf is not a new idea. Concern over lone wolves goes back to the early 1980s and Louis Beam’s ‘Leaderless Resistance’, itself based on the earlier ideas of Ulius Louis Amoss. Sageman just about remembers to mention Beam in ‘Leaderless Jihad’ – although references a much later article. I want to have a look at the parallels between the situation of white supremacists twenty-odd years ago and the current jihad. Both were being hounded. Both were forced to find ‘sanctuary’. Both used computers to maintain operational integrity. Both changed tactics. That’s the broad idea anyway, in bald and oversimplistic terms. Lone wolves arose in this distributed environment, much as they are reported to do so today. I’m not sure of the truth behind the perception yet, but I’ll be trying to find out.

  7. 2 July 2008 20:52

    Thanks for all the references, this is new material for me. Always appreciate brainfood.

    To return the favor, here’s the mentality I had in mind when I wrote that comment: people like Baron von Ungern. Even psychopathic nihilists have an ideology, though, you’re right…for Ungern it was Vedanta Tantric buddhism.

  8. 2 July 2008 22:37

    What we seem to be saying when we say that propaganda of the deed has evolved alongside the proliferation of communications is that the demand on violent actions has lessened. Terrorist acts in the past had to be pretty spectacular, or carefully directed, to garner attention – the assassination of leaders, kidnapping planes, or full-on uprisings such as the Easter Rising. Today, a terrorist’s preferred targets remain the same – symbolic institutions or figureheads, or strategic sites – but he can just as easily target a shopping mall in Kent or a local pub in Exeter. The media circus takes care of the rest. We know the story now – it’s been established by 9/11 and the aftermath. Each little action now fits into the established narrative of a clash of civilisations, and the media play blissfully along.

    I absolutely agree with you that radicalisation of new recruits (and maintaining the radicalisation of extant supporters) is the fundamental concern of the terrorist. I would go further and say that, at base, there is no other goal. They are not looking to take over territory. While it’s nice to think your enemy is scared, this does not really have much operational use. Gordon Brown isn’t going to install an Islamic government and run away. The only measure of success is whether you’ve won over more converts to your narrative of a civilisational clash. The more converts you have, the more emboldened that narrative: the growth is exponential. When we’re talking about Europe and America, what else is there to AQ than the narrative?

    POD doesn’t stop at the terrorist act itself, of course, and one of the ways in which jihadists have been extremely successful is maintaining the legitimacy of the action after the fact. I’m interested in the post-attack phase of POD in which there is a struggle to label/categorise/make-sense-of the event on all sides. By providing the endless stream of doctrinal justification, al-Sahab and co have made sure those actions remain legitimate and are interpreted as they wish them to be. It helps, of course, that they are often preaching to the converted, or the nearly converted, while the COIN guys have to concentrate on changing the minds of people that have already gone through some sort of radicalisation process. That’s why doing anything about it is, well, fucked.

    What’s even more interesting is that the internet might well save AQ from the backlash that seems to be forming in the shape of all this recent criticism about the death of Muslims in their attacks. As the internet takes hold of the jihad, it is having the same democratising effect that it had on everything else, such that influential figures such as Abu Musab al-Suri are questioning the leadership (not a common thing in the jihad world). Rather than seeing this as the beginning of the end for AQ Central (which perhaps it partly is), more importantly it marks a vital turning point for the global jihad generally: embracing the postmodern, open forum organisational network that allows greater efficiency, feedback, better decision-making – and increased legitimacy. All this can only make the movement more adaptable and resilient.

    The only criticism I would have of your piece is that I don’t think the question of complicity is relevant. Insofar as we all turn round when an explosion goes off behind us, we are all voyeurs – that will never change. Terrorists act because we are fascinated by real violence. Even the viewing figures for Coronation Street were probably pretty low on 9/11 (I wonder what they were, actually).

  9. 2 July 2008 22:38

    Good points all. And I pretty much agree with everything. The issue of complicity, however, is directly relevant. If there was no audience for terrorism, it would pretty much fade away. We are an audience and, like it or not, we have a choice to consume. If front pages do sell newspapers, for example, and quite frankly I have my doubts, editors would soon choose not to run stories in order to save circulation figures should people stop buying them. Traditional media are, if nothing else, entirely supply-and-demand industries, more so than most perhaps. I agree that it’s not a point belabouring, and I don’t, but it is an issue. If Big Brother audiences ever drop through the floor, advertisers will pull out, and the show will be scrapped.

    We are a vector of terrorism, as is the ‘terrorism industry’ in general. I’ve heard academics half-jokingly rue the day when terrorist attacks stop happening. Not to mention the after-dinner speakers, the book tours, the lecture circuits and the TV appearances. AQ or whoever must be laughing all the way to paradise thinking of how complicit we are in it all.

  10. 2 July 2008 22:39

    Let’s not get lost on the complicity issue, because that was just a small point – but I guess I just don’t like the implication inherent in the word ‘complicity’ that we are somehow at fault because of our interest in terrorism. People are interested in violence – that’s a simple fact. It’s the same as saying we are complicit in the trouser-making industry because we have legs. It’s too much of a truism. The key point is how terrorist organisations have naturally adapted to meet that demand within the changing communications context.

  11. 2 July 2008 22:46

    Well, trousers don’t generally kill people. As I said in the piece, my reference to publics’ complicity is as a passive process, not an active one. Active agency is of more concern in the way it’s reported, and you’ll find the stratcomms people talking about exactly this issue.

    I agree it’s not an easy or comfortable avenue to pursue, and was probably a little out of place in the piece. I know there’s plenty of critical writing on it elsewhere, some of it pretty tough going, some of it blatantly faux-Marxist twaddle. Let’s not go there.

  12. 2 July 2008 22:48

    @Justin,

    I’m constantly amazed at your reading list. Your library must be a wonder to behold. The “Bloody Baron” sounds like a right nutter. Any evidence he and Rasputin are up there swapping stories?

  13. 4 July 2008 19:37

    Tim, I have to agree with you on the salience of complicity. I find it interesting that post-911 preoccupation with terrorism, which for many sucked the wind right out of human rights preoccupations of the 1990s, remains nonetheless true, perhaps paradoxically, to its central themes. Complicity was one of them, a dark thread running through critiques of U.S. – and U.K. – foreign policy and non-intervention in Rwanda. Your comment that “the issue of complicity is not straightforward” is right on the money; bystanders and witnesses occupy a moral grayzone that’s difficult to navigate, particularly in the digital age, in which everyone and his dog can become an instant transnational voyeur.

    See these:
    “The Policy Hole.” SAIS Review 23:1 (Winter/Spring 2003): 257-271.
    http://www.ucl.ac.uk/spp/research-students/mike-innes/Publications/SAISReviewPolicyHole

    “Ordinary Bystanders.” SAIS Review 22:2 (Summer/Fall 2002): 361-366.
    http://www.ucl.ac.uk/spp/research-students/mike-innes/Publications/SAISReviewOrdinary_Bystanders

  14. 5 July 2008 12:12

    Cheers for the refs Mike. Just thinking about the Rwandan example. It was not, of course, just the outside world’s reluctance to act in 1994 that confused Rwandese (I should check out more what Kagame says about this issue now), but also the Christian god, complicit in his abandonment of the Tutsis (and, for form’s sake, moderate Hutus). I remember anecdotal evidence of Rwandese converting to Islam after the genocide, specifically in response to this perception.

    See perhaps:
    Alana Tiemessen (2005), ‘From Genocide to Jihad: Islam and Ethnicity in Post-Genocide Rwanda’, paper for presentation at the Annual General Meeting of the Canadian Political Science Association (CPSA) in London, Ontario, 2-5 June, 2005 [PDF].

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