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Al-Zawahiri flip-flops under fire

Posted by Tim Stevens on 22 April 2008

An interesting article by Kevin Whitelaw at U.S. News, Jihadist Questions for Ayman al-Zawahiri: new report shows al Qaeda supporters concerned about Iran and civilian killings, 21 April 2008. The report suggests that al-Qaeda’s ideologue was prepared to address some of the issues raised by correspondents such as whether the killing of Muslims is apostasy, but was less forthcoming over involvement in Iraq and policies towards Iran and Hamas. It has apparent for some time that al-Qaeda may have no over-arching strategy on many issues but to see the evidence so clearly is intriguing. Of course, this may just be a demonstration of Islamic ijtihad, although al-Qaeda seems to have a peculiar interpretation of this method of reasoning. What is undoubted is that many of al-Qaeda’s natural constituency display unease at some of al-Qaeda’s tactics and strategy, and that al-Zawahari may not be revealing his hand on some issues in an attempt perhaps to not alienate them further. My gut feeling is that much of al-Qaeda’s strategy is ad hoc and resorts to such crowd-pleasers as the murder of Jews when this is revealed.

[On 16 December 2007, Ayman al-Zawahiri] invited supporters of [al-Qaeda] to log on to several password-protected jihadist online forums and send questions to him. Experts at the U.S. Defense Department managed to acquire 1,868 separate questions posed to Zawahiri on [Al-Ekhlas and Al-Hesbah] secure jihadist websites.

One of the prime topics of concern among jihadists is whether al Qaeda has been unwilling or simply unable to attack in places like Iran, Egypt, Palestine, or even Israel, according to a new report by the Combating Terrorism Center at the U.S. Military Academy at West Point titled “The Power of Truth? Questions for Ayman al-Zawahiri.”

In particular, the Iran question is a thorny one for Zawahiri, given that al Qaeda, a Sunni group, has been conspicuously quiet about Shiite-dominated Iran. One post from someone using the name Abu Abd Al Razaq reads, “Where is Iran in your media campaign? We did not hear any honest release out of you. Why?”

But Zawahiri largely ignores this question, even though many queries asked specifically about reports that top al Qaeda figures have been in Iranian custody for several years.

“In our opinion, Zawahiri’s responses—and failures to respond—to many of these were highly selective, very evasive on most contentious issues and not overly impressive,” says Joseph Felter, the director of the Combating Terrorism Center. “In fact, he may have tipped his hand and showed his arrogance and intellectual weakness.”

Another hot topic was Zawahiri’s mixed message about the Palestinian extremist group Hamas. While he has applauded the group’s attacks on Israel, he has over the past year grown very critical of Hamas’s decision to participate in elections and govern under a secular constitution.

“The jihadist community’s backlash against Zawahiri on the Hamas and the Palestinian issues illustrates how poorly al Qaeda deals with nuanced problems,” the CTC report says. “Zawahiri probably helped himself on the matter by clearly explaining his position. Nonetheless, Zawahiri’s answer will be unsatisfactory for jihadists on both sides of the issue , those that want to see al Qaeda push Hamas to challenge Israel more violently and those that see Hamas as the best defender of Palestinians.”

Several questions concerned al Qaeda’s record of killing Muslim civilians. One participant wrote, “Many people in the Islamic world … complain that al Qaeda organization was behind many operations that targeted innocent civilians and Muslims within the Islamic nations and many Muslims and children died as a result of such operations. Do you think not that you are shedding prohibited and innocent’s blood?”

Zawahiri did respond to this, asserting that al Qaeda does not target Muslim civilians, adding that if Muslims were killed in any attacks, it was either accidental or because non-Muslims were surrounding themselves with Muslims.

Nearly a fifth of the questions addressed the status and dynamics of al Qaeda’s top leadership. But this was another topic that Zawahiri ignored almost completely in his lengthy response, posted online in early April. He did suggest, however, that he would offer additional responses in a future dispatch.

More broadly, the CTC report concludes that Zawahiri seems to fear that discontent is rising among al Qaeda’s supporters. “Zawahiri’s initial decision to hold a virtual press conference demonstrated that he feels the need to resolve concerns among jihadis about the future of the movement,” the report says. “Zawahiri’s answers revealed deep-seated worries about the controversies created by al Qaeda’s killing of innocents.”

2 Responses to “Al-Zawahiri flip-flops under fire”

  1. ‘U TURN’ IF YOU NEED TO … « Tony Blair Says:

    [...] Question Time for AQ’s al-Zawahiri [...]

  2. Links for 23 April 2008 « ubiwar.com Says:

    [...] Al-Zawahiri flip-flops under fire [...]

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